Periodic Oscillations and Cycles of Fatalities from Road Traffic Accidents in Lagos, Nigeria

Abstract

This study examined the periodic oscillations and cycles of fatalities from road traffic accidents in Lagos State, Nigeria.  The variance spectra for Ajeromi/Ifelodun, Ikorodu, Badagry, Epe and Ikeja Local Government Areas showed no regularity in the occurrence of fatalities from road traffic accident patterns, although 32.00 years is the most dominant cycle. However, Local Government Areas, like Lagos Island, Mushin and Lagos Mainland, showed some regularity in the occurrence of fatalities from road traffic accident patterns. Incidentally, these local governments were prone to accident in Lagos State. The reported fatalities from road traffic accidents in Lagos State were compared using analysis of variance (ANOVA) techniques. The results showed that for the two factors, Local Government Areas and years, the Fcalculated values of 19.62 and 9.72 respectively were higher than the F-tabular values of 1.57 and 1.46 respectively at 0.05 level of significance. It then implied that the means for each of the factors were significantly different. Based on the findings, policy recommendations were proffered on how to reduce the ugly incidence of road traffic fatalities in Lagos State and
Nigeria in general.